Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 8%. Polymarket has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

All outcomes · UK election called by...?