🗳️ Elections
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?

Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
87%
No
13%
No (13%)Yes (87%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 87%.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Carles Puigdemont physically enters the terrestrial territory of Spain at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Territory will be considered Spanish if it is administered by Spain at the time of Carles Puigdemont's presence, regardless of whether the territory is disputed. Unless Spain begins to administer the territory, Gibraltar will not count. Whether or not Puigdemont enters Spanish airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.

All outcomes · Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by...?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
87%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$10k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen