🗳️ Elections
Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$14k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 4%.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$14k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen