🗳️ Elections
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$26k
Liquidity
$35k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 21%. Polymarket has moved up 6pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
21%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$26k
Liquidity$35k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen