⚽ Sports
Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
34%
No
66%
No (66%)Yes (34%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$5k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 34%. Polymarket has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Khvicha Kvaratskhelia officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
All outcomes · Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
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99%
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Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
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Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
78%
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
70%
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
20%
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
18%
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
9%
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
7%
Will Vitinha finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5%
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4%
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3%
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3%
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3%
Will Lautaro Martinez finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1%
Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1%
Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
0%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$5k
CategorySports
StatusOpen