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Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

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Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

98%

No (98%)Yes (2%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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18%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Elections

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

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Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

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Avg probability

probability of YES

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