Fed rate cut by April 2027 meeting?
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 40%. Polymarket has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for April 2027, currently scheduled for April 27 to 28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.