🗳️ Elections

Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
37%
No
63%
No (63%)Yes (37%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$138

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 37%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage. A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration. The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
37%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$138
CategoryElections
StatusOpen