🗳️ Elections
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 15?

Live
Resolves Oct 16, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$107
Liquidity
$15k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 6%.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both James Talarico and Ken Paxton participate in a televised or live-streamed debate or candidate forum between market creation and October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, both listed individuals must be present, either on stage or in a virtual forum, and both must respond to at least one question while the other is present. Virtual live participation will qualify. Prerecorded appearances will not qualify. A candidate forum in which both candidates participate at different times will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

All outcomes · Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 16, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$107
Liquidity$15k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen