🗳️ Elections
Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?

Live
Resolves Oct 16, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$16k
Liquidity
$9k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

All outcomes · Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
13%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
13%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
12%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
10%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
9%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
9%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
7%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
6%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
4%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
3%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
3%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
2%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
2%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
2%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
1%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
1%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
1%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
1%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
1%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
0%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
0%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
0%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
0%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 16, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$16k
Liquidity$9k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen