📊 Macro

US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on October 12?

Live
Resolves Oct 12, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$371

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 50%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Up" if the reference price for the US Dollar Index (DXY) on October 12, 2026 is higher than the reference price for the US Dollar Index (DXY) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the reference price for the US Dollar Index (DXY) on October 12, 2026 is lower than the reference price for the US Dollar Index (DXY) on the most recent prior trading day. For each trading day, the reference price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (closing at 5:00 PM ET) on that date. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent reference price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. If the two specified reference prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Reference prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the US Dollar Index (DXY) does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, this market will resolve 50-50. Trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth. Under the standard schedule (time zone America/New_York), trading is open continuously from 5:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with no daily settlement break, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. If a listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. Under the standard New York 5:00 PM FX close convention, each trading day begins at 5:00 PM ET on the preceding calendar day and ends at 5:00 PM ET on that calendar day. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth "Close" value for the 1-minute candle timestamped 4:59 PM ET (closing at 5:00 PM ET), the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved prior to 4:59 PM ET durin

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 12, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$371
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen