🗳️ Elections
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?

Live
Resolves Apr 1, 2028Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$241
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 6%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

All outcomes · Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Apr 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$241
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen