🗳️ Elections

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
73%
No
27%
No (27%)Yes (73%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$21k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 73%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Talarico" if the "James Talarico (D)" option's hourly odds value is higher than the "Ken Paxton (R)" option's hourly odds value in the "Texas Senate Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Paxton" if the "Ken Paxton (R)" option's hourly odds value is higher than the "James Talarico (D)" option's hourly odds value in the "Texas Senate Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. If the "James Talarico (D)" option's and the "Ken Paxton (R)" option's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50. An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes "NO_PRINT" for an option for the specified window, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com has not published anything for the specified window for an option (neither an hourly odds value nor "NO_PRINT"), this market will remain open until a value or "NO_PRINT" for that window is published, and may remain open until November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET for that purpose. If nothing has been published for the specified window by that time, that option's most recent published hourly odds value before the specified window will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the "James Talarico (D)" option or the "Ken Paxton (R)" option in the "Texas Senate Election 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing either option from t

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
73%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$21k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen