⚽ Sports
Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov

Set Handicap: Yuta Shimizu (-1.5) vs Alibek Kachmazov (+1.5)

Live
Resolves Oct 25, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$47k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 50%.

About this market

This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and Alibek Kachmazov in the Guangzhou Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 1:20AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yuta Shimizu" if Yuta Shimizu wins by 2 or more sets than Alibek Kachmazov, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alibek Kachmazov." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Yuta Shimizu can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Alibek Kachmazov." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour results.

All outcomes · Guangzhou: Yuta Shimizu vs Alibek Kachmazov

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 25, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$47k
CategorySports
StatusOpen