⚽ Sports
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)

Will Francis Marshall win in Round 2?

Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$4

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 50%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Francis Marshall defeats Gaston Bolaños at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 2, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

All outcomes · UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Prelims)

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$4
CategorySports
StatusOpen