🗳️ Elections
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Will Nir Barkat receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?

Live
Resolves Oct 28, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
0%
No
100%
No (100%)Yes (0%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$15k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 0%.

About this market

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
78%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
22%
Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
1%
Will Yair Golan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Yariv Levin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Ofer Winter receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Benny Gantz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Itamar Ben Gvir receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Yair Lapid receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Avigdor Lieberman receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Yoaz Hendel receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Ayelet Shaked receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Amir Ohana receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Gilad Erdan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Moshe Feiglin receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Yossi Cohen receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Israel Katz receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Will Gideon Sa’ar receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
0%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
0%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 28, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$15k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen