🗳️ Elections
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?

Live
Resolves Nov 16, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$20k
Liquidity
$24k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 6%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

All outcomes · Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 16, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$20k
Liquidity$24k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen