Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 44%. Polymarket has moved down 19pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

All outcomes · Los Angeles Mayoral Election