🗳️ Elections

Will Elon register any party before 2027?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Polymarket
6%
Vol $19
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$19
Liquidity
$9k

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Polymarket
6%Trade
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$19
Liquidity$9k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen