🗳️ Elections
Ukraine peace referendum passed by...?

Ukraine peace referendum passed by June 30, 2027?

Live
Resolves Jul 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$14k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 9%.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

All outcomes · Ukraine peace referendum passed by...?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
9%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jul 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$14k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen