📊 Macro
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$13k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 9%.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$13k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen