📊 Macro
What will gas hit the week of November 9?

Will US gas hit $4.04 (High) the week of November 9?

Live
Resolves Nov 15, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
46%
No
54%
No (54%)Yes (46%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$420
Liquidity
$29

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 46%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or above the specified price for any date from Monday, November 9, 2026 through Sunday, November 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on one or more dates within the specified week, this market will resolve based on the prices observed for the remaining dates. The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/). Note: AAA currently publishes gas prices to four decimal places (e.g., $4.3718). The price will be used as published, without rounding.

All outcomes · What will gas hit the week of November 9?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
46%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Nov 15, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$420
Liquidity$29
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen