🗳️ Elections

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?

Live
Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
12%
No
88%
No (88%)Yes (12%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$10k

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
12%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$10k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen