Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? — Ebba Busch

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Resolves Jan 1, 2028Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

96%

No (96%)Yes (4%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Ebba Busch becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? — Magdalena Andersson

80%

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? — Ulf Kristersson

13%

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? — Jimmie Åkesson

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Avg probability

probability of YES

Kalshi

4%Check

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Resolution

Jan 1, 2028

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$4k

CategoryElections

StatusOpen