📊 Macro
Recession in 2027?
Live
Resolves Jan 31, 2028KalshiVolume-weighted avg
23%
No
77%
No (77%)Yes (23%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$230k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 23%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If there are two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth in Q4 2026 through Q4 2027, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution
Jan 31, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$230k
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen