Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 30%

Live

Resolves Sep 6, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

100%

No (0%)Yes (100%)

Check on Kalshi →

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 100%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by AfD in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 42%

98%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 40%

96%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 35%

93%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 38%

92%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 48%

91%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 50%

55%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 46%

12%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 44%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

100%

probability of YES

Kalshi

100%Check

TG WA

Create Widget

Resolution

Sep 6, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity—

CategoryElections

StatusOpen