Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 38%

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Resolves Sep 6, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

92%

No (8%)Yes (92%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 92%.

About this market

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by AfD in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 42%

98%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 40%

96%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 35%

93%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 48%

91%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 50%

55%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 30%

50%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 46%

12%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent — At least 44%

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Avg probability

92%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Sep 6, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$254

CategoryElections

StatusOpen