Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 12%

Live

Resolves Sep 6, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

98%

No (98%)Yes (2%)

Check on Kalshi →

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.

About this market

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by SPD in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 12% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 7%

99%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 6%

97%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 8%

80%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 3%

50%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 4%

50%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 5%

50%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 10%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

probability of YES

Kalshi

2%Check

TG WA

Create Widget

Resolution

Sep 6, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$333

CategoryElections

StatusOpen