Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 8%

Live

Resolves Sep 6, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

80%

20%

No (20%)Yes (80%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 80%. Kalshi has moved down 19pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by SPD in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 8% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 7%

99%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 6%

97%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 4%

50%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 5%

50%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 3%

50%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 10%

Saxony-Anhalt state election: SPD vote percent — At least 12%

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Avg probability

80%

probability of YES

Kalshi

80%Check

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Resolution

Sep 6, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$227

CategoryElections

StatusOpen