🗳️ Elections

SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
12%
No
88%
No (88%)Yes (12%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$20
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 12%.

About this market

The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing. If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
12%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$20
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen