🎯 Other
SOFR at end of Q4 2026

SOFR at end of Q4 2026 — Above 4.50%

Live
Resolves Jan 4, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$16k
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · SOFR at end of Q4 2026

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$16k
Liquidity$1k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen