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SOFR at end of Q4 2026

SOFR at end of Q4 2026 — Above 4.75%

Live
Resolves Jan 4, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$11k
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If the first published SOFR value corresponding to the final U.S. business-day SOFR reference date for Q4 2026 is above 4.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · SOFR at end of Q4 2026

SOFR at end of Q4 2026 — Above 3.00%
99%
SOFR at end of Q4 2026 — Above 3.25%
98%
SOFR at end of Q4 2026 — Above 3.50%
98%
SOFR at end of Q4 2026 — Above 3.75%
85%
SOFR at end of Q4 2026 — Above 4.00%
64%
SOFR at end of Q4 2026 — Above 4.25%
54%
SOFR at end of Q4 2026 — Above 4.50%
10%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 4, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$11k
Liquidity$1k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen