🗳️ Elections
South Carolina Senate margin of victory
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 4+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
44%
No
56%
No (56%)Yes (44%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$27k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 44%. Kalshi has moved down 7pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · South Carolina Senate margin of victory
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 1+ pts
73%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 2+ pts
64%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 3+ pts
54%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 5+ pts
27%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 1+ pts
22%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 6+ pts
22%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 2+ pts
18%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 7+ pts
15%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 8+ pts
12%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 4+ pts
11%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 3+ pts
8%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Andrews, 5+ pts
8%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 9+ pts
7%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 11+ pts
5%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 13+ pts
5%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 17+ pts
3%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 15+ pts
2%
South Carolina Senate margin of victory — Graham, 19+ pts
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$27k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen