🎯 Other

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
30%
No
70%
No (70%)Yes (30%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$578
Liquidity
$704

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 30%. Polymarket has moved down 8pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984 This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster. For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date. The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
30%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$578
Liquidity$704
CategoryOther
StatusOpen