Spain General Election: Vox wins a constituency?
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 62%. Polymarket has moved up 18pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vox receives more valid votes than any other candidacy in at least one of the 52 constituencies of the Congress of Deputies of Spain in this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to Vox. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, or coalition agreements. If Vox is tied for the most valid votes in a constituency, that constituency will not qualify. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).