Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 30%

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Resolves Nov 29, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

12%

88%

No (88%)Yes (12%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 12%.

About this market

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by PSOE in the 2026 Spanish general election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent

Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 21%

92%

Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 24%

88%

Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 23%

88%

Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 25%

75%

Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 26%

63%

Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 27%

48%

Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 28%

35%

Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 29%

21%

Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent — At least 31%

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Avg probability

12%

probability of YES

Kalshi

12%Check

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Resolution

Nov 29, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$49

Liquidity$949

CategoryElections

StatusOpen