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Market Closed
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🗳️ Elections
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 8
Closed
Resolves Nov 3, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
98%
No
2%
No (2%)Yes (98%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$12k
Liquidity
$436
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 98%. Kalshi has moved up 40pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is at least 8 in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 9
29%
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 10
22%
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 12
13%
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 16
11%
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 20
7%
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 14
7%
Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026) — At least 25
6%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume$12k
Liquidity$436
CategoryElections
StatusClosed