🗳️ Elections
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
Live
Resolves Jan 2, 2027PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
46%
No
54%
No (54%)Yes (46%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$657
Liquidity
$6k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 46%. Polymarket has moved up 31pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Resolution
Jan 2, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$657
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen