🗳️ Elections
Texas Governor margin of victory
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 8+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 2%.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Governor margin of victory
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 1+ pts
100%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 2+ pts
99%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 3+ pts
99%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 4+ pts
98%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 5+ pts
97%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 6+ pts
91%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 7+ pts
65%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 10+ pts
8%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 9+ pts
0%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen