🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 190
Live
Resolves Nov 24, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
49%
No
51%
No (51%)Yes (49%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 49%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 190 from Nov 16, 2026 to Nov 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 170
91%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 175
87%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 180
75%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 185
62%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 195
34%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 200
17%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 205
11%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 210
7%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 220
4%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22) — Above 230
3%
Resolution
Nov 24, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryElections
StatusOpen