🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 185
Live
Resolves Nov 17, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
69%
No
31%
No (31%)Yes (69%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 69%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 185 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 170
81%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 180
80%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 190
49%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 195
41%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 200
31%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 205
18%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 210
9%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 175
5%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 220
4%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 230
1%
Resolution
Nov 17, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen