🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 250

Live
Resolves Sep 22, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$284
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 250 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 150
80%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 175
34%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 200
15%
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20) — Above 225
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Sep 22, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$284
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen