🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 15
Live
Resolves Oct 27, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
91%
No
9%
No (9%)Yes (91%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 91%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 20
68%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 25
39%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 30
19%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 35
11%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 40
3%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) — Above 50
2%
Resolution
Oct 27, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen