🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 30
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
28%
No
72%
No (72%)Yes (28%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$791
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 28%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 15
98%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 20
86%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 23
71%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 25
57%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 27
29%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 35
9%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 40
2%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1) — Above 50
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$791
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen