🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 10
Live
Resolves Sep 29, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
97%
No
3%
No (3%)Yes (97%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$310
Liquidity
$452
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 97%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 15
94%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 20
82%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 25
59%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 30
37%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 35
15%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 40
8%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 75
6%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 50
5%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 45
4%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 100
2%
Resolution
Sep 29, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$310
Liquidity$452
CategoryElections
StatusOpen