🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 30
Live
Resolves Sep 29, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
39%
No
61%
No (61%)Yes (39%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4k
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 39%.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Sep 21, 2026 to Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 10
97%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 15
94%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 20
82%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 25
59%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 35
15%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 40
8%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 75
6%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 50
5%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 45
4%
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27) — Above 100
2%
Resolution
Sep 29, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen