🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 280
Live
Resolves Nov 10, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
81%
No
19%
No (19%)Yes (81%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 81%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 280 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 260
99%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 270
94%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 290
58%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 300
34%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 310
15%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 320
4%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8) — Above 330
1%
Resolution
Nov 10, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen