🗳️ Elections
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 280
Live
Resolves Nov 17, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
98%
No
2%
No (2%)Yes (98%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 98%. Kalshi has moved up 29pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 280 from Nov 9, 2026 to Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 260
99%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 270
98%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 290
96%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 300
84%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 310
74%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 320
49%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 330
30%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 350
30%
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15) — Above 340
19%
Resolution
Nov 17, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen