🗳️ Elections
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — 38.5 to 38.7
Live
Resolves Oct 16, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
15%
No
85%
No (85%)Yes (15%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 15%.
About this market
If the President's approval rating is between 38.5 and 38.7% at 11:00 AM ET on October 16, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026?
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — 37.9 to 38.1
22%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — 38.2 to 38.4
21%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — 37.6 to 37.8
19%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — Above 38.7
14%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — 37.3 to 37.5
12%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — 37.0 to 37.2
8%
Trump's approval rating on Oct 16, 2026? — Below 37.0
7%
Resolution
Oct 16, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen