🗳️ Elections
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 39.0%
Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$139
Liquidity
$133
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 4%.
About this market
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026?
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 38.8%
36%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 38.7%
23%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 38.6%
13%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 38.9%
12%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — Below 38.5%
6%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 38.5%
6%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — 39.1%
3%
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 1, 2026? — Above 39.1%
1%
Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$139
Liquidity$133
CategoryElections
StatusOpen